Broke Even Gambling? You Might Still Owe the IRS.
The new 90% gambling loss deduction rule could mean you owe taxes on money you never kept. Here is what the law actually says, why tax pros disagree on what it means, and what it could mean for you.

If you gamble, there is a new gambling tax law that could cost you money, even if you did not come out ahead. Starting January 1, 2026, the federal government limits how much of your gambling losses you can deduct. The short version: if you won $3,000 and lost $3,000 at the casino this year, you could owe taxes on $300, even though you broke even overall.
Sound confusing? You are not alone. There is widespread misunderstanding about what this rule actually does, and even tax professionals disagree on how to interpret it. The IRS has not yet issued formal guidance clarifying how it works.
This page breaks down what the law actually says, presents the two professional interpretations that exist, and shows how the math works under each one.
What changed
Before 2026, you could write off gambling losses up to the amount of your gambling winnings, as long as you itemized on Schedule A. If you won $3,000 and lost $3,000, you could deduct the full $3,000 in losses against those winnings, effectively canceling them out so you owed no additional federal income tax on your gambling activity for the year.
That changed with the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). Signed into law July 4, 2025, Section 70114 amended 26 U.S.C. Section 165(d) to add a 90% limitation on gambling loss deductions. This new gambling tax law took effect for 2026 and covers casinos, sportsbooks, poker, lottery, DFS, and online platforms.
So what does “90% of losses” actually mean in practice? That depends on who you ask.
The exact text of the law
Before diving into interpretations, here is what the law actually says.
View the full text of Section 70114 (H.R. 1, 119th Congress)
SEC. 70114. EXTENSION AND MODIFICATION OF LIMITATION ON WAGERING LOSSES.
(a) IN GENERAL. Section 165 is amended by striking subsection (d) and inserting the following:
"(d) WAGERING LOSSES.
"(1) IN GENERAL. For purposes of losses from wagering transactions, the amount allowed as a deduction for any taxable year
"(A) shall be equal to 90 percent of the amount of such losses during such taxable year, and
"(B) shall be allowed only to the extent of the gains from such transactions during such taxable year.
"(2) SPECIAL RULE. For purposes of paragraph (1), the term 'losses from wagering transactions' includes any deduction otherwise allowable under this chapter incurred in carrying on any wagering transaction."
(b) EFFECTIVE DATE. The amendment made by this section shall apply to taxable years beginning after December 31, 2025.
The key language is in subsections (A) and (B). Subsection (A) says the deduction “shall be equal to 90 percent” of losses. Subsection (B) says it “shall be allowed only to the extent of the gains.” How those two constraints interact is where the disagreement begins.
The two competing interpretations
Tax professionals have published conflicting interpretations of this statute, and the order of operations changes the outcome.
What tax professionals are saying
Rather than picking a side, here is what different professionals have published:
- Step-by-StepTax Notes uses step-by-step math and confirmed the 111% threshold.
- Step-by-StepFoster Garvey provides detailed mathematical examples consistent with the step-by-step reading.
- Step-by-StepAve Maria School of Law published an academic analysis using the step-by-step reading.
- Step-by-Step
- Lesser-OfBarnes Dennig CPA explicitly states the deduction is limited to “the lesser of 90% of your gambling losses or 90% of gambling gains,” consistent with the lesser-of reading.
- Flags ambiguityJones Walker LLP flags the ambiguity directly, noting “a lack of clarity as to which limitation on losses would apply first.” They recommend monitoring for IRS guidance rather than committing to either interpretation.
So are gambling losses deductible? Yes, but as the experts above have shown, the new law limits the deduction to 90% of losses, and how that applies in practice is still being debated. While they work it out, one thing is not in dispute: the IRS expects you to keep detailed records of your gambling activity.
What the IRS expects you to track
According to IRS Topic 419 and IRS Publication 529, your gambling diary needs to include:
- The date and type of each wager
- The name and address of the establishment
- The names of other people present with you
- The amounts you won or lost
What counts as a “session” to track? Every trip to the casino. Every poker night. Every day you place bets on a sportsbook app. Each of those is a separate entry in your diary with its own date, location, and amounts. If you gamble twice a week, that is over 100 sessions a year to document.
A casino’s annual win/loss statement or a player’s card summary may be helpful as supporting documentation, but the IRS has indicated they are not sufficient on their own. They expect a session-by-session diary that you maintain throughout the year.
If you gamble at casinos, on sportsbook apps, and at poker nights, that means tracking across all of them. Trying to piece together a full year of gambling activity from memory in April is how records end up incomplete.
How the math works
The difference between interpretations only matters in certain scenarios. Here is the same situation calculated both ways.
You break even ($3,000 in wins, $3,000 in losses)
- 90% of losses
- $2,700
- Capped at winnings
- $2,700
- 90% of losses
- $2,700
- 90% of gains
- $2,700
- Lesser of the two
- $2,700
When you break even, both interpretations agree: you owe taxes on income that only exists on paper. That is “phantom income.” And the more you gamble at or near break-even, the larger that number grows.
But what happens when your losses exceed your winnings? That is where the two interpretations start to disagree.
You lost more than you won ($3,000 in wins, $4,500 in losses)
- 90% of losses
- $4,050
- Capped at winnings
- $3,000
The 10% reduction is absorbed because 90% of losses still exceeds winnings.
- 90% of losses
- $4,050
- 90% of gains
- $2,700
- Lesser of the two
- $2,700
You still owe tax on 10% of winnings regardless of how much you lost.
This is where the interpretations diverge. Under the Step-by-Step interpretation, losing significantly more than you win can eliminate the “phantom income.” Under the Lesser-Of interpretation, you owe tax on 10% of your winnings no matter what. Same person, same year, two very different tax bills depending on which interpretation applies.
The IRS has not weighed in
Practical impact
Here is how the two interpretations compare across different scenarios.
| Scenario | Step-by-Step | Lesser-Of |
|---|---|---|
| Break even (losses = wins) | Tax on 10% of winnings | Tax on 10% of winnings |
| Losses 100–111% of wins | Some phantom taxable income | Tax on 10% of winnings |
| Losses greater than 111% of wins | $0 taxable gambling income | Tax on 10% of winnings |
| Net winner | Reduced loss deduction | Reduced loss deduction |
A qualified tax professional can help determine how this applies to your specific situation, including whether itemizing deductions makes sense given your overall tax picture.
The good news? There is a real chance this rule does not survive.
Repeal efforts
Multiple bills have been introduced in Congress to repeal or modify the OBBBA’s gambling tax changes. Many commentators have suggested the provision was included primarily to meet budget scoring requirements rather than as deliberate tax policy, and legislators from both parties have co-sponsored repeal bills.
Read more about the repeal bills currently in Congress.
But even if the rule gets repealed, it may not happen immediately, and it may not be retroactive. That could mean records from 2026 still matter, and record-keeping may have become more important than ever.
The W-2G threshold change
Under IRS guidance issued in December 2025, the W-2G reporting threshold for slot machines, bingo, and keno increased from $1,200 to $2,000 effective January 1, 2026. This means casinos will issue fewer W-2G forms, creating fewer automatic paper trails of gambling activity.
With fewer wins being automatically reported, the documentation burden falls on individual gamblers. The IRS expects a detailed diary or log of gambling sessions, including dates, locations, game types, and per-session amounts.
Fewer paper trails from casinos, more responsibility on you, and a new rule that nobody fully agrees on yet. This is why keeping records throughout the year matters.
